During an epidemic outbreak, decision makers crucially need accurate and robust tools to monitor the pathogen propagation. The effective reproduction number, defined as the expected number of secondary infections stemming from one contaminated individual, is a state of the art indicator quantifying the epidemic intensity. Numerous estimators have been developed to precisely track the reproduction number temporal evolution. Yet, COVID 19 pandemic surveillance raised unprecedented challenges due to the poor quality of worldwide reported infection counts. When monitoring the epidemic in different territories simultaneously, leveraging the spatial structure of data significantly enhances both the accuracy and robustness of reproduction number estimates. However, this requires a good estimate of the spatial structure.
Etienne Lasalle : Joint reproduction number and spatial connectivity structure estimation via graph sparsity-promoting penalized functional.
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Joint reproduction number and spatial connectivity structure estimation via graph sparsity-promoting penalized functional.
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Nom de l'orateur
Etienne Lasalle
Etablissement de l'orateur
CNRS
Date et heure de l'exposé
26-01-2026 - 14:00:00
Lieu de l'exposé
salle de séminaire
Résumé de l'exposé
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